The truth at any cost lowers all other costs — curated by former US spy Robert David Steele.
Commenting on Berto Jongman: Modernizing Analytical Training + Robert Steele & RECAP Remember the Gorge Carver-Gorge Allen contrasting mindsets in predicting the outcome in Vietnam. The optimistic Carver argued , “if, if, if, we’re going to win. The pessimistic Allen countered: “unless, unless, unless we’re going to lose.” In more formal argumentation, the “ifs” and …
There are multiple analytic flaws with most source data, and particularly with any source data labeled in relation to terrorism. If Israelis have have touched the data in any way, shape, or form (especially including the software), it must be considered contaminated and severely suspect. While I have nothing critical to say about the application …
While the automated search produces the relevant results, Jack Davis is the Sherman Kent of our time and deserves a cleaner quicker result. Here is the human in the loop distillation of this great man’s contributions as they appear on this web site and the two web sites in Sweden where all our stuff is …
PLATINUM Jack Davis, Virtual Dean of US All-Source Analytic Corps For over three decades, Jack Davis has been the heir to Sherman Kent and the mentor to all those who would strive to be the world’s most effective all-source intelligence analysts. As a Central Intelligence Agency analyst and educator, he combines intellect, integrity, insight, and …
Continue reading “1997 Davis A Compendium of Analytic Tradecraft Notes”
Modernizing Analytical Training for the 21st Century Senior US intelligence leaders are starting to doubt whether ‘experts’ are the best forecasters of emerging risks. Regina Joseph, however, has other culprits in mind. Familiar cultural and bureaucratic obstacles may be more to blame for the foresight training and analysis problems intelligence agencies face today.
Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) Robert David Steele To appear in Intelligence Tradecraft for the Third Millennium (Romania) DOC (7 Pages): Open Source Intelligence 1.3 Intelligence is the art and science of evidence-based decision-support. Intelligence is not defined by its inputs (spies, secrecy, money, risk) but rather by its outputs – tailored actionable decision-support. In this …
