NIGHTWATCH Extract: Egypt Dictator-Domino Falling?

Egypt: A spokesman for Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood announced that the group is making five urgent demands which the Egyptian government should comply with in order to avert several crises, according to a 19 January posting on the Muslim Brotherhood website.

Muhammad Mursi said the group wants Cairo to revoke the state of emergency, dissolve the People’s Assembly and hold free and fair elections, amend the constitutional articles that led to vote rigging in Egypt’s last elections, hold presidential elections according to those amendments, and fire the current government and form a national unity government responsive to the Egyptian people’s demands.

Comment: The Brothers are belatedly trying to take advantage of the Tunisian uprising. Mubarak could die at any time, but as long as he possesses his faculties he will not fall for lies by his personal security chief, as did Tunisia’s Ben Ali, and will not be intimidated by the Brotherhood.

NIGHTWATCH KGS Home

Phi Beta Iota: Dictators will fall before faux democracies because they are on the thinnest ice in the face of angry connected young people with legitimate grievances.  The PowerShift that Alvin and Heidi Toffler anticipated in the 19990’s has begun to occur.  The other threat to civilization can be found in fundamentalists and relativists–those who treat faith as a cult or faith as a convenience.  It is a mistake to regard the Muslim Brotherhood as threatening–they are more of an indications & warning.  When  the right precipitant comes along, Egypt will fall, and the other 43 dictators will follow in relatively quick (ten years) time.  Now is when US covert action could shine, but first the White House and Congress and the military-industrial complex must be weaned of their love of dictators.  This is also a time when holistic all-source analysis could shine, helping guide a 180 degree turn away from dictators and toward democracy in time for the 2012 “Awakening.”

See Also:

Read the rest of this entry »

Comments Off
Jan 20

Published Profiles of/by Robert David Steele

Categories: About the Idea

Multiple requests for “profiles” of founder Robert David Steele have come up, and inspire this particular posting for the convenience of those parties and others.  The World Brain & Global Game are inevitable.  It’s just a matter of time and energy.  Who invests first will substantially influence whether they are imperial in nature, or multinationally and culturally neutral in nature.  They should of course be Open in nature (software, sources, and spectrum).

2010 PhD Author Dissects Intelligence Reformer Robert Steele
2009 Homeland Security Today: Vet with a Vision
2000 The Year in Computing Open Source Solutions
1993 Alvin Toffler, “The Future of the Spy” in War & Anti-War

Who’s Who in Collective Intelligence: Robert David STEELE Vivas
2010: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) Trilogy Updated
2010 The Ultimate Hack Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re-Engineer Earth (Chapter)
2008 Open Source Intelligence (Strategic)
2006 Forbes Blank Slate On Intelligence
2002 New Rules for the New Craft of Intelligence (Book 2 Chapter 15)
2002 TIME Magazine The New Craft of Intelligence

Comments Off
Sep 14

Search: The Future of OSINT [is M4IS2-Multinational]

COIN20 Trip Report

Paradise Found

The future of OSINT is M4IS2.

The future of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) is Multinational, Multifunctional, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain Information-Sharing & Sense-Making (M4IS2).

The following, subject to the approval of Executive and Congressional leadership, are suggested hueristics (rules of thumb):

Rule 1: All Open Source Information (OSIF) goes directly to the high side (multinational top secret) the instant it is received at any level by any civilian or military element responsive to global OSINT grid.  This includes all of the contextual agency and mission specific information from the civilian elements previously stove-piped or disgarded, not only within the US, but ultimately within all 90+ participating nations.

Rule 2: In return for Rule 1, the US IC agrees that the Department of State (and within DoD, Civil Affairs) is the proponent outside the wire, and the sharing of all OSIF originating outside the US IC is at the discretion of State/Civil Affairs without secret world caveat or constraint.  OSIF collected by US IC elements is NOT included in this warrant.

Read the rest of this entry »

Comments Off
Nov 25

Journal: Spinney, Boyd, Green, Kuhn on “Can America Be Salvaged?–Public Intelligence Aspects”

Idiocy in America

Idiocy in America

This lengthy piece is organized as follows:

1)  Chuck Spinney on how our partisan “leaders” are disconnected from reality and leading us over a cliff, with reference to John Boyd.

2.  An extract and link to the always brilliant CounterPunch where David Michael Green discusses the core issue: Can America be salvaged?

3.  A Phi Beta Iota editorial commentary on Thomas Kuhn (The Structure of Scientific Revolutions), Robert Steele (Paradigms of Failure, Data Pathologies), and Howard Zinn (A Power Governments Cannot Repress).

CHUCK SPINNEY: The article in Counterpunch by David Michael Green, “Can America be Salvaged?” is an brilliant expository argument describing  what are in effect the destructive outcomes of self-referencing/incestuously amplifying OODA loops that are becoming ever more disconnected from reality.

Read the rest of this entry »

Comments Off
Sep 19

Who’s Who in Collective Intelligence: Yochai Benkler

Yochai Benkler

Yochai Benkler

Yochai Benkler is the Berkman Professor of Entrepreneurial Legal Studies at Harvard, and faculty co-director of the Berkman Center for Internet and Society. Before joining the faculty at Harvard Law School, he was Joseph M. Field ‘55 Professor of Law at Yale. He writes about the Internet and the emergence of networked economy and society, as well as the organization of infrastructure, such as wireless communications. www.benkler.org.  Below is his Foreword to the book as re-mixed by Hassan Masum.

The Wealth of Networks:
Highlights Remixed

Read the rest of this entry »

Comments Off
Dec 15

Handbook: Election 2008 Annotated Bibliography on Reality

Free Book Online

Free Book Online

Below is the Annotated Bibliography that completed ELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig.  It was designed to be a “handbook” of sorts on Reality.  We like to paraphrase Trotsky, with a tip of the hat to Alvin Toffler who quoted him in War and Anti-War: Survival at the Dawn of the 21st Century:

“You may not be interested in reality, but reality is interested in you.”

Trotsky was referring to war.  For the Public Intelligence Blog, reality is war, and our worst enemies are domestic in nature, causing self-inflicted wounds vastly more fatal than any foreign armed adversary could produce at any cost.  The categories in the graphic below are repeated legibly below the graphic.  This Blog superceeds the below bibliography, which only cover about 500 of the 1500+ books that are more easily accessed here within the Blog–as a gift to others, however, the below document can be useful as a starting point.  This is all the stuff neither the government nor the media are willing to cover seriously in the public interest.

Reality 101

Reality 101

Anti-Americanism, Blowback, Why the Rest Hates the West. 92

Betrayal of the Public Trust. 93

Biomimicry, Green Chemistry, Ecological Economics, Natural Capitalism.. 98

Blessed Unrest, Dignity, Dissent, & the Tao of Democracy. 99

Capitalism, Globalization, Peak Oil, & “Free” Trade Run Amok. 100

Collective Intelligence, Power of Us, We Are One, & Wealth of We. 102

Culture of Catastrophe, Cheating, Conflict, & Conspiracy. 104

Deception, Facts, Fog, History (Lost), Knowledge, Learning, & Lies. 104

Democracy in Decline. 107

Emerging and Evolving Threats & Challenges. 110

Failed States, Poverty, Wrongful Leadership, and the Sorrows of Empire. 114

Future of Life, State of the Future, Plan B 3.0. 115

Innovation & 21st Century Leadership. 117

Instruments of National Power Hard and Soft. 120

Intelligence, Decision-Support, & Decision-Making. 121

Internet (Good, Bad, & Ugly). 123

Philosophy, Psychology, & Religion from Faith to Fascism.. 124

Strategy. 127

War, Waste, & Crimes Against Humanity. 129

Comments Off
Oct 25

Who’s Who in Public Intelligence: Alvin & Heidi Toffler

Categories: Alpha Q-U
Tags:
Alvin & Heidi Toffler

Alvin & Heidi Toffler

PLATINUM LIFETIME ACHIEVEMENT AWARD

Alvin & Heidi Toffler

Alvin and Heidi Toffler are the original researchers, visionaries, cartographers, path-finders, and mentors for a legion of pioneers who have created the future.  The writing is but the tip of the their influential iceberg–their personal relationships worldwide, and the manner in which they inspire and introduce special people to one another, is without equal in this world.

Comments Off
Mar 7

Reader Training Archive on Public Intelligence (1992-2006)

Categories: Methods & Process
Original

Original

1997

US

Reader Admin Cover, Appreciation, Foreword, Contents

1997

US

Reader Basch Secrets of the SuperSearchers: A Personal and Practical Perspective

1997

FR

Reader Baumard Learned Nations: Competitive Advantages Through Knowledge Strategies

1997

FR

Reader Bonthous Culture: The Missing Intelligence Variable

1997

UK

Reader Collier Toward the Global Information Industry and a New Information Paradigm

1997

US

Reader Donahue National Funding Directions for Open Source Intelligence

1997

US

Reader Fedanzo A Genetic View of National Intelligence

1997

US

Reader Fedanzo Implementing OSINT Through a Distributed Contribution Model

1997

US

Reader Herring The Role of Intelligence in Formulating Strategy

1997

US

Reader Hlava Selected Professional or Trade Associations in Information

1997

US

Reader Karraker (WIRED) Highways of the Mind

1997

US

Reader Kees Advanced Information Processing & Analysis

1997

SE

Reader Leijonhelm Economic Intelligence Cooperation Between Government and Industry

1997

US

Reader Markowitz Community Open Source Strategic Plan (COSPO)

1997

US

Reader McGill Private Sector Role in Collecting, Processing, & Disseminating Intelligence

1997

US

Reader MITRE Open Source Research Processing Initiative

1997

US

Reader Peters After the Revolution

1997

US

Reader Rheingold Tools for Thinking–Thinking New Thoughts

1997

US

Reader Schmidt A History of Failure, A Future of Opportunity: Reinventions and Deja Vu

1997

US

Reader Shepard Intelligence Analysis in the Year 2002: A Concept of Operations

1997

US

Reader Sibbit Commercial Remote Sensing: Open Source Imagery Intelligence

1997

US

Reader Steele ACCESS: Theory and Practice of Intelligence in the Age of Information

1997

US

Reader Steele Commercial Imagery (OSS Notices Extract)

1997

US

Reader Steele Draft Legislation: The National Information Strategy Act of 1994

1997

US

Reader Steele E3i: Ethics, Ecology, Evolution, and Intelligence

1997

US

Reader Steele HAC Surveys Open Source Intelligence (OSS Notices Extract)

1997

US

Reader Steele Information Concepts & Doctrine for the Future

1997

US

Reader Steele Intelligence Building Blocks (OSS Notices Extract)

1997

US

Reader Steele Lip Service, Great Pretenders, & OSINT (OSS Notices Extract)

1997

US

Reader Steele Mapping, Charting, & Geodesy Deficiencies (OSS Notices Extract)

1997

US

Reader Steele National Intelligence: The Community Tomorrow? (SASA at NSA)

1997

US

Reader Steele Open Source Intelligence: What Is It? Why Is It Important to the Military?

1997

US

Reader Steele OSINT: Graphical Overviews

1997

US

Reader Steele Private Enterprise Intelligence: Its Potential Contribution to Nat’l Security

1997

US

Reader Steele Reinventing Intelligence: The Advantages of Open Source Intelligence

1997

US

Reader Steele Talking Points for the Public Interest Summit

1997

US

Reader Steele Testimony to Commission on Eliminating Excessive Secrecy in Govt

1997

US

Reader Steele Toward High-Performance Organizations: A Strategic Role for Groupware

1997

US

Reader Studeman Teaching the Giant to Dance: Contradictions & Opportunities within the IC

1997

US

Reader Toffler Global Security & Global Competitiveness (OSS ’03 Keynote)

1995

US

Reader Markowitz COSPO: Community Open Source Program Office Strategic Plan

1995

US

Reader Peters After the Revolution

1995

US

Reader Steele House Appropriations Committee Surveys Open Source Intelligence

1995

US

Reader Steele Intelligence Building Blocks

1995

US

Reader Steele Lip Service, Great Pretenders, and Open Source Intelligence

1995

US

Reader Steele Mapping, Charting, & Geodesy Deficiencies

1995

US

Reader Steele National Intelligence: The Community Tomorrow? (At NSA, 1995)

1995

US

Reader Steele OSINT: What Is It?  Why Is It Important to the Military?

1994

US

Reader Basch Secrets of the Super-Searchers

1994

UK

Reader Collier Toward a Global Information Industry and New Information Paradigm

1994

US

Reader Englebart Toward High Performance Organizations

1994

US

Reader Steele Draft Legislation: National Security Act of 1994

1994

US

Reader Steele Private Enterprise Intelligence: Its Potential Contribution to Nat’l Sec

1994

US

Reader Steele Talking Point for the Public Interest Summit

1993

US

Reader McGill Private Sector Role in Collecting, Processing, Disseming Intelligence

1993

FR

Reader Schmidt A History of Failure, A Future of Opportunity: Reinvention & Deja Vu

1993

US

Reader Steele Reinventing Intelligence: The Advantages of OSINT
Comments Off
Jul 18

Policy Archives on Public Intelligence (1992-2006)

Categories: Policy

2006

US

Policy DoD QDR Shift in Focus 18 Years After Gray and Steele Recommended Same

2006

US

Policy Markowitz Defense Science Board Report on Transitions (NGO, OSINT)

2006

US

Policy Peters Counterrevolution in Military Affairs

2006

US

Policy Steele Terms of Reference for Intelligence Reform 1.1

2006

US

Policy Steele In Search of a Leader (Four Essential Reforms)

2006

US

Policy Steele Electoral Refrom as Precursor to Intelligence Reform

2006

US

Policy Tsuruoka Managing for the Future: Interview with Alvin Toffler

2005

US

Policy Andregg Ethics and the IC: Breaking the Laws of God and Man

2005

UK

Policy BASIC Think Tank Report on US Intelligence Incompetence

2005

EU

Policy EU European Union Proposed Multi-National Intelligence Service

2005

US

Policy Godson Culture of Lawfullness

2005

US

Policy Steele ON INTELLIGENCE: Overview in Aftermath of 9-11

2005

US

Policy Steele Op-Ed on Condi Rice’s Active Deception

2005

US

Policy Steele Cease and desist letter on Naquin

2005

US

Policy Tama Princeton Review on Intelligence Reform

2004

US

Policy Alexander Army G-2 Accepts OSINT as Separate Discipline

2004

US

Policy Andregg Insanity of Planned Intelligence “Reforms”

2004

AU

Policy Anon & Steele Update on OSINT in Australia

2004

FR

Policy Clerc Cognitive Knowledge for Nations

2004

US

Policy Cordesman Questions & Answers on Intelligence Reform

2004

US

Policy Cordesman & Steele Questions & Answers on Intelligence Reform

2004

US

Policy Simmons Congressman Simmons Letter to General Schoomaker on OSINT

2004

US

Policy Steele DoD OSINT Program: One Man’s View of What Is Needed

2004

US

Policy Steele Transcript of Steele at Secretary of State’s Open Forum 24 March 2004

2004

NL

Policy Tongeren (van) Need for Global Alliance for Human Security (Complete)

2004

NL

Policy Tongeren (van) Need for Global Alliance for Human Security (Overview)

2003

US

Policy Czech Steady State Revolution and National Security

2003

CA

Policy Fyffe Intelligence Sharing and OSINT

2003

CA

Policy Fyffe Intelligence Sharing and OSINT (Summary)

2003

UN

Policy Lewis Creating the Global Brain

2003

US

Policy Markowitz OSINT in Support of All Source

2003

US

Policy Markowitz Open Source Intelligence Investment Strategy

2003

US

Policy Steele Open Letter to Ambassadors Accredited to the USA

2003

BE

Policy Truyens Intelligent vs. Intelligence: That Is The Question

2002

Italy

Policy Politi 11th of September and the Future of European Intelligence

2001

US

Policy Heibel Intelligence Training: What Is It?  Who Needs It?

2001

US

Policy Heibel Value of Intelligence & Intelligence Training to Any Organization

2001

US

Policy Oakley Use of Civilian & Military Power for Engagement & Intervention

2000

US

Policy Berkowitz An Alternative View of the Future of Intellligence

2000

RU

Policy Budzko Russian View of Electronic Open Sources and How to Exploit Them

2000

US

Policy Ermarth OSINT: A Fresh Look at the Past and the Future

2000

IT

Policy Politi The Birth of OSINT in Italy

1999

US

Policy Allen (ADCI/C) OSINT as a Foundation for All-Source Collection Management

1999

UK

Policy Rolington Changing Messages in Western Knowledge Over 400 Years (Slides)

1999

UK

Policy Rolington Changing Messages in Western Knowledge Over 400 Years (Text)

1999

UK

Policy Steele Snakes in the Grass: Open Source Doctrine

1998

US

Policy Donahue Balancing Spending Among Spies, Satellites, and Schoolboys

1997

FR

Policy Botbol The OSINT Revolution: Early Failures and Future Prospects

1997

US

Policy Felsher Viability & Survivability of US Remote Sensing as Function of Policy

1997

US

Policy Steele Intelligence in the Balance: Opening Remarks at OSS ‘97

1997

US

Policy Sutton Global Coverage ($1.5B/Year Needed for Lower Tier OSINT)

1997

US

Policy Tsuruoka Asian Perceptions of What Is and Is Not Legal in Economic Intelligence

1997

UK

Policy Tyrrell Proposals to Develop a NATO/PfP OSINT Capability

1996

FR

Policy Clerc Economic and Financial Intelligence: The French Model

1996

US

Policy Kahin What Is Intellectual Property?

1996

US

Policy Steele Creating a Smart Nation (Govt Info Q and also CYBERWAR Chapter)

1996

US

Policy Steele InfoPeace: OSINT as a Policy Option & Operational Alternative

1996

US

Policy Steele Open Sources and the Virtual Intelligence Community

1996

US

Policy Steele Protecting the Civilian Infrastructure as an Aspect of Information Warfare

1996

US

Policy Zuckerman The Central Role of Open Source Economic Intelligence

1995

US

Policy Prusak Seven Myths of the Information Age

1995

US

Policy Steele Conference Executive Summary C/HPSCI and former DCI Colby

1995

US

Policy Steele Creating a Smart Nation: Strategy, Policy, Intelligence, & Information

1995

US

Policy Steele SMART NATIONS: NI Strategies and Virtual Intelligence Communities

1994

US

Policy Ogdin & Giser Cyber-Glut, and What To Do About It

1994

FR

Policy Schmidt Open Source Solutions 1994: The State of Intelligence

1994

US

Policy Schwartau Letter on NII Security

1994

US

Policy Schwartau et al Cross-Walk of 3 Experts’ Spending $1 Billion per Year for NII Security

1994

US

Policy Steele Communications, Content, Coordination, and C4 Security: Talking Points

1994

US

Policy Steele Correspondence to Mr. Marty Harris, NII Commission

1994

US

Policy Steele DATA MINING: Don’t Buy or Build Your Shovel Until You Know What…

1994

US

Policy Steele Expansion of Questions Posed by Senator John Warner to Aspin-Brown

1994

US

Policy Steele Letter to the Open Source Lunch Club on PFIAB Being Useless

1994

US

Policy Steele National and Corporate Security in the Age of Information

1994

US

Policy Steele Private Enterprise Intelligence: Its Potential Contribution to Nat’l Sec.

1993

FR

Policy Beaumard France: Think-tank to Anticipate & Regulate Economic Intelligence Issues

1993

FR

Policy Beaumard Learned Nations: Competitive Advantages Via Knowledge Strategies

1993

US

Policy Brenner Law and Policy of Telecommunications and Computer Database Networks

1993

US

Policy Castagna Review of Reich, The Work of Nations

1993

AU

Policy Chantler Need for Australia to Develop a Strategic Policy on OSI

1993

US

Policy Cisler Community Computer Networks

1993

US

Policy Civille The Spirit of Access: Equity, NREN, and the NII

1993

US

Policy Fedanzo A Genetic View of National Intelligence

1993

US

Policy Haver Intelligence Aim Veers to Amassing Overt Information

1993

JP

Policy Kumon Japan and the United States in the Information Age

1993

SE

Policy Leijonhelm Economic Intelligence Cooperation Between Government Industry

1993

US

Policy Love Comments on the Clinton Administration’s ‘Vision’ Statement for the NII

1993

US

Policy Petersen A New Twenty-First Century Role for the Intelligence Community

1993

GE

Policy Schmidt History of Failure, Future of Opportunity: Reinventions and Deja Vu

1993

US

Policy Steele A Critical Evaluation of U.S. National Security Capabilities

1993

US

Policy Steele ACCESS: Theory and Practice of Intelligence in the Age of Information

1993

US

Policy Steele Executive Order 12356, ‘National Security Information’

1993

US

Policy Steele Reinventing Intelligence in the Age of Information (TP for DCI)

1993

US

Policy Steele Reinventing Intelligence: The Advantages of OSINT

1993

US

Policy Steele Role of Grey Lit & Non-Traditional Agencies in Informing Policy Makers

1993

US

Policy Toffler (Both) Knowledge Strategies, Intellience Restructuring,  Global Competitiveness

1993

US

Policy Wallner Overview of IC Open Source Requirements and Capabilities

1993

US

Policy Wood The IC and the Open Source Information Challenge

1992

US

Policy Barlow EFF and the National Public Network (NPN)

1992

US

Policy Castagna Review of Toffler’s PowerShift

1992

SE

Policy Dedijer Open Source Solutions: Intelligence and Secrecy

1992

US

Policy Gage Open Sources, Open Systems

1992

US

Policy Greenwald Unrepresented Nations & Peoples Organization: Diplomacy’s Cutting Edge

1992

US

Policy Hughes An Affordable Approach to Networking America’s Schools

1992

US

Policy Kahin New Legal Paradigms for Multi-Media Information in Cyberspace

1992

US

Policy Kahn Outline of a Global Knowledge Architecture, Visions and Possibilities

1992

US

Policy Steele E3i: Ethics, Ecology, Evolution, and Intelligence

1992

US

Policy Steele Inaugural Remarks Opening 1st International Conference

1992

US

Policy Steele Information Concepts & Doctrine for the Future

1992

US

Policy Steele OSINT Clarifies Global Threats: Offers Partial Remedy to Budget Cuts

1992

US

Policy Steele Review Strassmann, Information PayOff

1992

US

Policy Wood Remarks, Don’t Be Suspicious of Contractors

1991

US

Policy JFK Working Group National Intelligence and the American Enterprise: Possibilities

1991

US

Policy Karraker Highways of the Mind

1991

US

Policy Steele How to Avoid Strategic Intelligence Failures in the Future

1990

US

Policy Steele Recasting National Security in a Changing World

1957

US

Policy Wright Project for a World Intelligence Center
Comments Off
Jul 18

Academic Archive on Public Intelligence (1992-2006)

Categories: Academia
Archive 1992-2006

Archive 1992-2006

2003

US

Academic Andregg State of the Academic Tribe (Slides)

2003

US

Academic Andregg State of the Academic Tribe (Text)

2003

US

Academic Pak & Zadanowicz Estimate of Lost Tax Revenues (Text)

2003

US

Academic Pak & Zadanowicz Transfer Pricing Import-Export Tax Avoidance Fraud ($50B/Year in US)

1999

US

Academic Lepingwell Center for Nonproliferation Studies, MIIS (Briefing Slides)

1999

UK

Academic Ostle et al Oxford Analytica Contact Information of Special Study on Islam

1998

FR

Academic Baumard Learned Nations & Knowledge Strategies

1998

FR

Academic Bonthous Culture: The Missing Intelligence Variable

1997

GE

Academic Mayer-Kress The World Brain

1995

US

Academic Bender The Information Highway: Will Librarians Be Left by the Side of the Road?

1995`

US

Academic Heibel Research and Intelligence Analyst Program (RIAP) at Mercyhurst College

1994

US

Academic Kahin New Laws for Government & Business Operations in Cyberspace

1994

US

Academic Liddy An Intelligent Digital Librarian

1993

US

Academic Etheredge National Knowledge Strategies  in the IC and the Library of the Future

1993

US

Academic Jacso A Proposal for Database ‘Nutrition and Ingredient’ Labeling

1993

US

Academic Toffler Keynote Address to OSS ’93 (Transcript)
Comments Off
Jul 18